Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.000165 0.000178 0.000191 0.000207 0.000224 0.000242 0.000264
2024-11-03 0.000140 0.000158 0.000178 0.000202 0.000230 0.000263 0.000305
2024-11-10 0.000127 0.000147 0.000170 0.000199 0.000235 0.000279 0.000338
2024-11-17 0.000116 0.000137 0.000162 0.000195 0.000238 0.000291 0.000366
2024-11-24 0.000109 0.000131 0.000159 0.000195 0.000244 0.000308 0.000400
2024-12-01 0.000103 0.000126 0.000155 0.000195 0.000249 0.000322 0.000433
2024-12-08 0.000099 0.000123 0.000154 0.000197 0.000257 0.000342 0.000475
2024-12-15 0.000094 0.000118 0.000149 0.000194 0.000259 0.000352 0.000503
2024-12-22 0.000090 0.000114 0.000147 0.000194 0.000263 0.000367 0.000540
2024-12-29 0.000087 0.000112 0.000145 0.000195 0.000270 0.000385 0.000584
2025-01-05 0.000085 0.000110 0.000145 0.000197 0.000279 0.000406 0.000636
2025-01-12 0.000081 0.000106 0.000141 0.000195 0.000279 0.000414 0.000665
2025-01-19 0.000080 0.000106 0.000142 0.000199 0.000292 0.000444 0.000741
2025-01-26 0.000075 0.000101 0.000137 0.000194 0.000289 0.000448 0.000768
2025-02-02 0.000072 0.000097 0.000133 0.000192 0.000289 0.000458 0.000807
2025-02-09 0.000069 0.000094 0.000130 0.000188 0.000288 0.000464 0.000840
2025-02-16 0.000067 0.000092 0.000128 0.000188 0.000293 0.000482 0.000899
2025-02-23 0.000065 0.000090 0.000126 0.000188 0.000296 0.000497 0.000957
2025-03-02 0.000064 0.000088 0.000126 0.000190 0.000304 0.000523 0.001041
2025-03-09 0.000061 0.000086 0.000123 0.000187 0.000304 0.000531 0.001086
2025-03-16 0.000060 0.000084 0.000122 0.000187 0.000308 0.000549 0.001160
2025-03-23 0.000059 0.000083 0.000121 0.000188 0.000315 0.000574 0.001254
2025-03-30 0.000058 0.000082 0.000121 0.000190 0.000324 0.000603 0.001368